Some risks live in the connections between systems, or on horizons beyond any budget cycle. This subsite relates global, catastrophic and long-term risk practice and the scenario and foresight methods that let those risks be stated, compared and revisited as evidence changes. Every artifact of these areas carries a UNI (Unique Nexus Identifier), which identifies and never certifies.
Fig.Edge labels count coupling rows. Tags give reading order only. Design, not a record.
Nexus Standards (2026). Systemic Risks: master subsite of the Nexus Standards (PROPOSED areas). https://nexustandards.com/systemic-risk/. Last reviewed 2026-10-17.
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20 coupling rows join this subsite's areas to 9 other subsites, counted from the systemicContext rows of the area context bank in both directions. Select a card on the canvas to trace it.
| Coupled subsite | Rows | Example mechanism |
|---|---|---|
| Digital, Cyber and AI | 5 | Mechanism: some frontier technologies carry catastrophic tail risk.Frontier technology risk standards to Global catastrophic and existential risk standards |
| Finance, Insurance and the Economy | 5 | Mechanism: financial contagion is a core systemic channel.Financial stability and prudential risk to Global and systemic risk |
| Hazards and Disaster Risk Reduction | 3 | Mechanism: cascades across sectors are the core of systemic risk.Compound and cascading hazard standards to Global and systemic risk |
| Climate and Earth Systems | 2 | Tail risk: high-end warming and tipping cascades are catastrophic scenarios.Global catastrophic and existential risk standards to Climate risk standards |
| Data and Evidence | 1 | Decisions taken under deep uncertainty record which scenarios and robustness tests were considered.Scenarios, models and foresight to Decision records and accountability |
| Health and Biosecurity | 1 | Cascade: pandemics trigger economic and social cascades.Health security and One Health to Global and systemic risk |
| Humanitarian Action and Development | 1 | The Declaration on Future Generations' commitment to foresight is carried into scenario and long-horizon risk records in the Systemic Risks subsite.Pact for the Future alignment to Future generations and long-term risk |
| Industry, Trade and Supply Chains | 1 | Cascade: production networks propagate local shocks globally.Global and systemic risk to Supply chain and trade risk |
Every area of the subsite with its tier, status, the Nexus Standards it lists, the open standards it names, its feeds and its couplings. Area entries are PROPOSED; registry rows are named where they exist.
Area index0 of 4 areas have a registry row; the rest are proposed areas with a full context entry and no registry row yet. Feed counts include sources pending admission.
Indicator names and codes as their stewards publish them; values appear only from a governed GRIx source, never typed into a page.
| Area | NS-0 | NS-3 | NS-3b | NS-9 | NS-10 | NS-11 | NS-12 | NS-13 | NS-14 | Listed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Global and systemic risk | 6 | |||||||||
| Global catastrophic and existential risk standards | 4 | |||||||||
| Future generations and long-term risk | 5 | |||||||||
| Scenarios, models and foresight | 3 |
Standards that applyA filled cell means the area's context entry lists that Nexus Standard. Context entries are PROPOSED; no cell is a conformance, certification or readiness statement.
Provider, licence, delivery path and register status for each source. A source is live on a public page only after an owner decision admits it; until then it reads pending admission.
No legal register row admits any of these sources for live display on public pages yet, so nothing is read from them here. A register row that exists records the source for the governed GRIx path; admission for public pages is a separate owner decision.
GDACS global disaster alerts (events API, RSS, CAP)pending admission
European Commission JRC and UN OCHA · near real time
European Commission reuse policy (CC BY 4.0 for EC content)
GRIx governed readregister row exists
IMF data services (WEO, IFS, FSI via SDMX)pending admission
International Monetary Fund · monthly to semi-annual
IMF terms of use (attribution); Foundry register: LEGAL_REVIEW_REQUIRED
build-time snapshotregister row exists
INFORM Risk Indexpending admission
European Commission JRC · annual with mid-year update
CC BY 4.0 under the Commission reuse policy
GRIx governed readregister row exists
NGFS scenarios databasepending admission
NGFS (hosted by IIASA) · per vintage
NGFS scenario data terms (attribution)
GRIx governed readregister row exists
World Bank Open Data and World Development Indicators APIpending admission
World Bank · quarterly
CC BY 4.0 for most datasets; Foundry register: LEGAL_REVIEW_REQUIRED
GRIx governed readregister row exists
CMIP6 climate projections (Copernicus Climate Data Store)pending admission
Copernicus Climate Change Service; WCRP modelling centres · static releases
Per-model terms, mostly CC BY 4.0; to be recorded per model
build-time snapshotproposed register row
Copernicus Climate Data Store (CMIP6 projections)pending admission
ECMWF for the European Commission · per release
Per dataset; CMIP6 data mostly CC BY 4.0
GRIx governed readproposed register row
Our World in Data datasetspending admission
Global Change Data Lab (Our World in Data) · varies
CC BY 4.0 for OWID-produced data; third-party data keep their licences
build-time snapshotproposed register row
Sentry impact monitoring APIpending admission
NASA JPL Center for Near Earth Object Studies · daily
NASA/JPL public data; terms to be recorded by Legal
build-time snapshotproposed register row
SSP Scenario Explorerpending admission
IIASA · per release
IIASA SSP database terms (attribution)
build-time snapshotproposed register row
Global and systemic risk · GCRI Canada may admit systemic assessments composed from versioned sector records with stated assumptions as research evidence; GCRI Canada decides under its own evidence and research rules, and no approval is implied.
Global catastrophic and existential risk standards · GCRI Canada may admit scenario and elicitation records that state method, experts and uncertainty as research evidence; GCRI Canada decides under its own evidence and research rules, and no approval is implied.
Future generations and long-term risk · GCRI Canada may admit long-term scenario and assessment records as research evidence; GCRI Canada decides under its own evidence and research rules, and no approval is implied.
1 more areas state what this pathway reads; each area page has its own line.
Global and systemic risk · GRF may use shared systemic records as a basis for multi-stakeholder dialogue; GRF decides under its own recognition rules, and no recognition or endorsement is implied.
Global catastrophic and existential risk standards · GRF may convene dialogue on catastrophic risk governance using the shared records; GRF decides under its own recognition rules, and no recognition or endorsement is implied.
Future generations and long-term risk · GRF may record institutions adopting intergenerational assessments as a dialogue item; GRF decides under its own recognition rules, and no recognition or endorsement is implied.
1 more areas state what this pathway reads; each area page has its own line.
Global and systemic risk · GRA may read systemic scenario records when it considers portfolio-level and correlated risk; GRA decides under its own capital-readiness rules, and no approval, rating or investment view is implied.
Global catastrophic and existential risk standards · GRA may read resilience capability records when it considers long-horizon resilience investment; GRA decides under its own capital-readiness rules, and no approval, rating or investment view is implied.
Future generations and long-term risk · GRA may read long-term risk records when it considers long-horizon investment; GRA decides under its own capital-readiness rules, and no approval, rating or investment view is implied.
1 more areas state what this pathway reads; each area page has its own line.
Each institution decides under its own rules what it reads as evidence; no pathway is an approval, a readiness statement or investment advice.
Each area proposes a working group with a scope, deliverables and liaison targets; a liaison is sought, never claimed, until the body confirms it in writing.
| Area | Working group scope | Deliverables | Liaison sought |
|---|---|---|---|
| Global and systemic risk | Composition rules and records for systemic risk across all domains. | 3 | 4UNDRR, International Science Council, OECD High-Level Risk Forum, IIASA Systemic Risk and Resilience programme |
| Global catastrophic and existential risk standards | Classification, vulnerability and resilience records for global catastrophic risk with uncertainty honesty. | 3 | 4UN Office for Disaster Risk Reduction, UN Executive Office of the Secretary-General foresight function, International… |
| Future generations and long-term risk | Records for long-term scenarios and intergenerational impact assessment. | 3 | 4UN Executive Office of the Secretary-General, OECD Strategic Foresight Unit, Future Generations Commissioner for… |
| Scenarios, models and foresight | Scenario provenance, model documentation and deep-uncertainty practice. | 3 | 3IIASA, NGFS secretariat, Society for Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty |
Pick an area above, adopt its proposed charter and file it as a docket under NS-13; editors decide with written reasons. Develop a standard
Every area entry is PROPOSED: a pull request against the area context bank names the change and its source, peer-reviewed or published statistics.
Propose a feed with provider, licence and delivery path; Legal/IP records the terms and the owner decides admission. Agents never admit a source.
Contribute to an external standard through its own body's channels; the outcome comes back here as a register change. Movement and contribution
Peer-reviewed sources and published statistics as the area entries cite them, newest first within each type.
The Nexus Risk Standards read in Systemic Risks, the NHS-1 hazard domains it carries and its library: scope, codes, schemas, conformance, governance, templates, crosswalks, change log and how to contribute.
C, H, M, N, P and U
NHS-1 sys4 families
LibraryRisk Academy disciplines that teach Systemic Risks, with their courses; the GCRI Canada, The Global Risks Forum (GRF) and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA) subsites that carry those disciplines; and the Nexus Foundry systems the standards name. Mappings are proposed for review (Risk Academy standards map, 2026-10-17); a link says a page on the same subject exists, never an endorsement or a conformance statement; framework names in course titles are named and linked, never reproduced.
Charter a working group, correct a brief or name a source. Area entries are PROPOSED content for the Nexus Standards registry; a UNI identifies and never certifies, and nothing on this site is a certification, an approval or a readiness statement.
Nexus Standards documents CC BY 4.0 · tooling Apache-2.0 · counsel review pending (DEC-2026-10-16-NEXUS-STANDARDS-OPEN-LICENCE). External standards are named and linked under their own licences; a UNI (Unique Nexus Identifier) identifies, it never certifies. · Generated from the Nexus Standards corpus at commit 437ae044c5cb (2026-10-17); proposed and open.