Specifies how scenario sets (SSP and RCP, NGFS), simulation and agent-based models, and foresight exercises are recorded: scenario provenance, model description protocols, ensemble and deep-uncertainty methods, and the rule that a scenario is never presented as a forecast. Every artifact of the area carries a UNI (Unique Nexus Identifier), which identifies and never certifies.
Context entry PROPOSED for the Nexus Standards registry.
Nexus Standards (2026). Scenarios, models and foresight: area brief, Systemic Risks (PROPOSED). https://nexustandards.com/systemic-risk/scenarios-models-and-foresight/. Last reviewed 2026-10-17.
Files carry the credits and the licence line; they are generated in your browser and nothing is sent. Downloads need script.
The cross-cutting capabilities section of Systemic Risks. Scope as the area context entry states it (PROPOSED).
In scope 4
Out of scope 2
Jurisdictions No jurisdiction note is recorded for this area yet; jurisdiction narrows what applies and never implies that a Nexus profile satisfies a law.
The Nexus Standards the area context entry lists. Every one is proposed or specified; none is adopted by an authority.
Status proposed · 4 rules stated. Read NS-12
Status proposed · 0 rules stated. Read NS-3b
Status proposed · 6 rules stated. Read NS-11
Mix standards and clauses into a profile draft with citations; YAML or JSON; nothing is submitted.
Today · in your browserPick a sector, hazard family, capability and artifact type; the registry routes the standards and says why.
A console computes from the registry and shows its reasons; it never decides, approves or certifies.
Relations are register entries (NS-14), never conformance or equivalence statements; hover or focus a relation for its meaning. Names of standards bodies and their standards belong to their stewards and are used only to identify the documents; no text of an external standard is reproduced here.
Each coupling names the mechanism that links this area to another; select a card on the canvas to trace it. Mechanisms are stated in the context bank (PROPOSED).
Fig.RUNNING marks the area you are reading; DONE an area in the same subsite, QUEUED an area elsewhere and GATE a subsite reached. Tags give reading order only, never a status. Design, not a record.
Sources the area reads or proposes. Delivery follows GRIx first; a source is shown live only after an owner decision admits it for public pages.
No legal register row admits any of these sources for live display on public pages yet, so nothing is read from them here. A register row that exists records the source for the governed GRIx path; admission for public pages is a separate owner decision.
NGFS scenarios databasepending admission
NGFS (hosted by IIASA) · per vintage
NGFS scenario data terms (attribution)
GRIx governed readregister row exists
Copernicus Climate Data Store (CMIP6 projections)pending admission
ECMWF for the European Commission · per release
Per dataset; CMIP6 data mostly CC BY 4.0
GRIx governed readproposed register row
SSP Scenario Explorerpending admission
IIASA · per release
IIASA SSP database terms (attribution)
build-time snapshotproposed register row
Indicator names and codes as their stewards publish them; values appear only from a governed GRIx source, never typed into a page.
Closed or paywalled standards appear by name and link only; any compatibility profile of one is built on simulated data and kept on protected pages until an institutional arrangement with the issuing body is recorded. Nexus Standards is not affiliated with, endorsed by or certified by any standards body named here.
The working group may name closed standards later; they would be listed here by name and link only.
Scenario provenance, model documentation and deep-uncertainty practice.
No working group is chartered yet; a community may charter this one under NS-13 through a docket.
GCRI Canada uses scenario results as evidence only with the scenario vintage, model version and ensemble spread stated.
GRF foresight outputs are labelled as exploratory and cite the scenario sets behind them.
GRA stress views name the scenario set and vintage and never present a scenario as an expected outcome.
Each institution decides under its own rules what it reads as evidence; no pathway is an approval, a readiness statement or investment advice.
Hazards and threats 0
No hazard or threat is listed for this area; it reads the hazards of the areas it couples with.
Sectors 0
No sector is listed for this area; it serves every sector through the areas it couples with.
Peer-reviewed sources and published statistics on the publishers' own domains, as the context entry cites them.
Plain links to the faculty pages of Risk Academy; no course, credential, recognition or endorsement is implied.
Risk Academy disciplines that teach Scenarios, models and foresight, with their courses; the GCRI Canada, The Global Risks Forum (GRF) and The Global Risks Alliance (GRA) subsites that carry those disciplines; and the Nexus Foundry systems the standards name. Mappings are proposed for review (Risk Academy standards map, 2026-10-17); a link says a page on the same subject exists, never an endorsement or a conformance statement; framework names in course titles are named and linked, never reproduced.
Propose a change, join the working group or name a source. Area entries are PROPOSED content for the Nexus Standards registry; a UNI identifies and never certifies, and nothing on this site is a certification, an approval or a readiness statement.
Nexus Standards documents CC BY 4.0 · tooling Apache-2.0 · counsel review pending (DEC-2026-10-16-NEXUS-STANDARDS-OPEN-LICENCE). External standards are named and linked under their own licences; a UNI (Unique Nexus Identifier) identifies, it never certifies. · Generated from the Nexus Standards corpus at commit 437ae044c5cb (2026-10-17); proposed and open.