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Reports · Nexus Standards · Discipline
discipline
Systemic risks in Reports
Some risks live in the connections between systems, or on horizons beyond any budget cycle. This page shows the series it feeds, the evidence behind it and how to contribute.
- Series
- 3
- Systems
- 3
- Areas
- 4
What this area brings to the editions.
Some risks live in the connections between systems, or on horizons beyond any budget cycle. This subsite relates global, catastrophic and long-term risk practice and the scenario and foresight methods that let those risks be stated, compared and revisited as evidence changes.
From Foundry evidence to the series.
The evidence, step by step, from the systems this area reads to the series it feeds.
How Systemic risks reaches Reports: what it reads, how it reads it, the sealed cut and the series it feeds.
| Step | What happens | Source |
|---|---|---|
| 01 What it reads | Systemic risks reads NXS-DSS (decision cases and deliberation) and NXS-LAB (research, experiments and simulations): governed sources with their releases, never a value without its source. | |
| 02 The cut is sealed | Each quarter the evidence is sealed in one cut, so OBSERVED, REPORTED and ESTIMATED values stay apart and every edition can be rebuilt. | |
| 03 The series it feeds | The cut feeds Methods and Technical and Global Sector Risk and Resilience, from the Baseline Edition 2026 into the quarterly series. | |
| 04 Who decides | Decisions stay with the authorities that hold them, under their own rules; an edition informs a decision and never makes it. |
A teaching model of the evidence path, not a forecast and not a record of any run; the systems, methods and series named come from the registries. Sources: Systemic risks in Reports (2026); Systemic risks home (2026).
The series it feeds, and what backs each.
| Series | Foundry systems it draws on | Academy disciplines | Series home |
|---|---|---|---|
| Methods and Technical | NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) the methods, indicators and validation studies behind each product NXS-LAB method comparisons under transparent test conditions NXS-NXQ (software, models and capability lifecycle) the fitness record of models and tools the methods use | Quantitative risk analysis and statistics Model risk and validation Risk indicators and composite indices | Methods and Technical series home |
| Global Sector Risk and Resilience | NXS-GRX one sector’s structure, dependencies and concentration measures NXS-EOP (earth observation and digital twins) observed change in the sector’s assets and their surroundings | Trade, supply chains and geoeconomics Critical infrastructure and lifelines | Global Sector Risk and Resilience series home |
| Evidence Brief | NXS-GRX the evidence behind one question, with its strength and gaps NXS-POR (public, client and partner delivery) the public-safe release of a brief and its corrections NXS-DSS what the evidence settles for the decision in hand | Research, evidence and the science-policy interface Risk communication and risk literacy Uncertainty and decision making | Evidence Brief series home |
The 4 areas inside Systemic risks.
Each area is a section of this Nexus Standards subsite. Its parts, indicators and working group feed the standards progress reported each quarter.
- capabilitiesNS-12 · NS-3b · NS-11Scenarios, models and foresightSpecifies how scenario sets (SSP and RCP, NGFS), simulation and agent-based models, and foresight exercises are recorded: scenario provenance, model description…
- hazard familiesNS-0 · NS-9 · NS-11 · NS-13Global catastrophic and existential risk standardsGlobal catastrophic risks could kill a large fraction of humanity or collapse civilisational systems, and are neglected because they are rare, unprecedented and…
- risk disciplinesNS-0 · NS-3 · NS-9 · NS-10 · NS-11 · NS-14Global and systemic riskSystemic risk arises when shocks propagate through tightly coupled systems (finance, food, energy, health, information) and produce failures far larger than the…
- risk disciplinesNS-0 · NS-9 · NS-10 · NS-11 · NS-13Future generations and long-term riskDecisions taken now on climate, technology, debt and infrastructure impose risks on people not yet born, and the Declaration on Future Generations commits states to…
Parts and open standards applied here.
Nexus Standards parts are preparatory working drafts (2026); external standards are cited, never reproduced.
The systems, methods and teaching behind it.
Where the same subject is reported elsewhere.
- Coupled areaNexus StandardsAI, models and agentsModels reuse the model card and evaluation record, adding scenario and calibration provenance.
- Coupled areaNexus StandardsFinance and payments dataClimate stress scenarios used in finance cite the NGFS vintage and the transformation applied.
- Coupled areaNexus StandardsDecision records and accountabilityDecisions taken under deep uncertainty record which scenarios and robustness tests were considered.
- Coupled areaNexus StandardsFrontier technology risk standardsMechanism: emerging technologies shape long-term risk.
- Coupled areaNexus StandardsClimate risk standardsTail risk: high-end warming and tipping cascades are catastrophic scenarios.
- Coupled areaNexus StandardsFood security and nutrition riskCascade: abrupt sunlight reduction would collapse global food production.
- Coupled areaNexus StandardsFuture generations and long-term riskCommon driver: slow systemic stresses accumulate into long-term risk.
- Coupled areaNexus StandardsCompound and cascading hazard standardsMechanism: cascade chains recorded there are the building blocks of systemic assessment here.
Contribute on Systemic risks.
Evidence, a case, a correction, a method or profile input on this subject. The composer tags it with this area and its series.
Write a contribution the editor can act on.
Say what it is, where its record is kept and on which licence. It arrives tagged with this page, its area and its gateway, so it reaches the editor who owns it.
Your email opens with the subject and a template already filled in for GW-STD.
- Evidence
- Correction
- Case study
- Analysis or method
- Peer review
- Translation
- Profile input
Never send personal data or sensitive infrastructure detail. A contribution is reviewed before use; sending it confers no authorship or editorial rights.
Open science for Systemic risks.
How a contribution on this subject is deposited, identified, credited, licensed and found, and the metadata for it prefilled from this page.
Systemic risks’s open record
- Area
- Systemic risks
- Feeds
- Methods and Technical, Global Sector Risk and Resilience, Evidence Brief
- Record
- A UNI for every accepted contribution; cited with its DOI in the edition that uses it
- Links
- isSupplementTo the edition it informs; isNewVersionOf its earlier version
- Licence
- CC BY 4.0 (SPDX CC-BY-4.0) for original material; metadata CC0 1.0
Credit and identity
- ORCID
- Your iD in the deposit and the contribution record; DataCite can then add the work to your ORCID record
- ROR
- Your organisation by its ROR identifier, never by a typed name alone
- CRediT
- Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Software, Validation, Visualisation, Writing, review and editing
- Account
- None needed to contribute; never a password
Find and follow
Search the open indexes for Systemic risks; software is cited by its SWHID from Software Heritage. Annotation is your choice: Hypothesis opens this page in its own viewer.
Mirrors and harvest
The DOI is canonical. At release each signed bundle is also given an IPFS content identifier and a bloxberg anchor as mirrors; both are listed in the record once they exist. Zenodo exposes every record over OAI-PMH, and reviews and endorsements can arrive through COAR Notify where the repository supports it.
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}Releases for this area.
Releases tagged to this area appear here once released.
Send evidence on Systemic risks.
Reports is the Consortium’s quarterly publication. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work.
- EmailGateway GW-STDSend it from this pageEvidence, a correction, a case, a method, a review, a translation or profile input. It arrives tagged with this page, so the editor who owns it receives it.
- ZenodoOpen depositDeposit it and submit to the communityPublish your own record on Zenodo with your ORCID iD, then submit it to the Reports community there. Curators review it; the DOI stays yours.
- ReportsNexus StandardsSee every way to contributeThe contribution types, how each is reviewed, what credit you receive, the licence and what is never accepted.
Never send personal data, sensitive infrastructure detail or anything you have no right to share. A contribution is reviewed before use; sending it confers no authorship or editorial rights, and sponsorship never buys a finding.
Around the reports at Nexus Standards.
Bring what you know to the next edition.
Every quarter closes on a sealed evidence cut. Contributions received before the cut are reviewed for that edition; later ones wait for the next.
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